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Monday, 26 September 2016

'Trump will win', says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly (Video)

Professor Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University, Washington D.C, has correctly predicted the winner of every U.S presidential election since 1984 and has now said he is certain that Republican candidate Donald Trump will win the November 8 election and also explained how he came to the decision...



According to Lichtman, his prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions but he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine who will win the election and it's always worked since 1984.

The keys to the White House, which are explained in depth in Lichtman’s book “Predicting the Next President” are:

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.

3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.

4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.

8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

33 comments:

livingstone chibuike said...

Story

Uju Phil said...

Trouble brewing...#SorryWorld

livingstone chibuike said...

Professor u're stil dreaming

Davido's driver said...

And he will die like Abacha in power

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ONYX linda ikeji first son GODWIN said...

Hian! Doesn't mean he'd be right this time around! The thought of Trump winning! Scary!

OSINANL said...

I PRAY HE WINS

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ike manuel said...

Omg! I hope he gets this one wrong for the first time in 30 years

Na me talk am!

Long Live Lib!!!

ed DREAMZ said...

a.k.a EDWIN CHINEDU AZUBUKO said...
.
Pls he should win abeg.. Am so curious to see how his rule will look like....
.
.
***CURRENTLY IN JUPITER***

freeborn bamislam suani ahmad bamislam said...

Good news make una see good news oo
freeborn is dancing now!
YES SIR I HEAR U SIR SPEAK up.
you shall know the truth and it shall set u free.
Americans want trump not Hillary.
FOOLS AND MUSLIMS ANIMALS WILL OPPOSE THIS TRUTH BUT WHO GOD DESTINED TO BE PRESIDENT,NO IDIOT FROM SAUDI THE HEart OF DARKNESS WILL STOP AM.
Obama will try toil rig it like terrorist buhari on edo election but it won't happen.
CONGRATULATION MY PAPA TRUMP FOR WINNING.



















#sad indeed

Juliet Iwuno said...

We patiently wait. Linda take note!

freeborn bamislam suani ahmad bamislam said...

Heavenly prediction!
Good news make una see good news oo
sir u are a real prophet:
freeborn is dancing now!
YES SIR I HEAR U SIR SPEAK up.
you shall know the truth and it shall set u free.
Americans want trump not Hillary.
FOOLS AND MUSLIMS ANIMALS WILL OPPOSE THIS TRUTH BUT WHO GOD DESTINED TO BE PRESIDENT,NO IDIOT FROM SAUDI THE HEart OF DARKNESS WILL STOP AM.
Obama will try toil rig it like terrorist buhari on edo election but it won't happen.
CONGRATULATION MY PAPA TRUMP FOR WINNING.



















#sad indeed

Anonymous said...

Of course no doubts abt that

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vinna saviour said...

All the best to him

Eddy Ogbunambala said...

Yup! Go Trump

Vivian Reginalds said...

wow dumb trump? *sobs*
-D great anonymous now as Vivian Reginalds

Anonymous said...

So far he is not a God






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okechukwu nnoduechi said...

SCAM.








AUNTY LINDA 👩

evy claret said...

Let's watch and see

Eva Da Diva...

Yusuf Dimas said...

Hmmm... it shouldn't really bother me whoever wins... but I would prefer Clinton in any case!

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Anonymous said...

Sadly, he may be correct. Hillary stood a better chance 8 years ago. For a woman, 68 is rather old to be theUS President

Deedee said...

This proof is not evident to state that Trump will win miss Linda! This man never said so! Why do you mislead people all the time? You never seems to amaze me because you copy and paste , plagiarize. Smh

Ben Soko said...

Linda , where in this video did the professor say's Trump will win?

Anonymous said...

if he wins then woe to America, woe to USA. End of the Strongest Country in the world. Mark my word.

benkoms said...

Better get used to it,Trump all the way

Anonymous said...

Abi Olori Buruku le le yi ni.... U better go back to sleep and redream your dream.

babat said...

What manner of Prof are you? All the bases point at Clinton wining. Yet you concluded that Trump the Trumpeternal will will. You are not in any way different from Naija false prophets.

Anonymous said...

Trump will win...forget online polls...

Softy # said...

I guess he is wrong this time

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